Senate Race Predictions 2024. The 2020 margin columns refer to the presidential margin of victory in each state in 2020. The race to fill the seat in the new congress is rated as solid democratic.

These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Data for fivethirtyeight’s previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 republican primary averages is available for download here.